Our unique research of NFL QB mental makeup has revealed that temperament makeup is linked to winning Super Bowls and is more important than physical ability such as 40-yard dash time. While we could produce long reports about the temperament makeup, his ideal system ad environment and historical precedent…publicly we will only provide a list of quick comments regarding the 2016 NFL draft QBs.
For an overview of our method, read our analysis of NFL players.
We love Carson Wentz but if you are picking a QB late here’s our top QB VALUE picks of the NFL 2016 draft based on one factor – a historical comparison of temperament makeup to past NFL QBs (these rankings do not account for football skills such as, “Can he make all the throws?”). Practically a team would want an analysis of a QB’s arm strength, pro-style offense knowledge and temperament. You want a QB that has all 3 such as Carson Wentz. Our temperament ‘value’ picks:
1 – Nate Sudfeld (Risk – huge potential or bust). Temperament equal, Brett Favre.
2 – Joel Stave. Same temperament as Tony Romo, which means he has the mental goods to function as an NFL QB. Also Joel is clutch and he WINS. Major draft value pick, like Romo. Negative – could get lost in his head, overthink things, needs to have fun to enjoy and stay loose.
3 – Jeff Driskel/Cody Kessler – if you have the right staff. (risky but potential starting QB).
Other QBs – Our Draft Comment
Carson Wentz’s – Draft? Yes! Same Temperament Makeup type as Eli Manning. #1 QB.
Jared Goff – Yes – Same mental makeup type as Dave Krieg but Wentz is better.
Paxton Lynch – Maybe – but not in 1st round (he has no top QBs comparisons of the same mental makeup type). This QB could be a bust and his situation requires more research.
Jacoby Brissett – Maybe. No exact matches but could be a basic NFL starter.
Kevin Hogan – Maybe – No exact matches in top QB list. Our guess: but could be a basic fill-in/backup NFL QB.
Jeff Driskel/Cody Kessler – Maybe, if you have the right staff – both has the same mental makeup as Johnny Unitas. Very strong headed which could work against them in this day and age.
Nate Sudfeld – YES! Could be pick of the draft or huge bust. He has a mental makeup exact match to a top HOF QB (Brett Favre). That said he is a work in progress and needs more coaching and the right place for his development.
Wes Lunt – Maybe – same mental makeup as Nate Sudfeld and a HOF QB. We like Nate better.
Everett Golson/Vernon Adams Jr. – Maybe – but only if they are pocket QBs – Temperament match to Eli Manning. This is a very highly rated temperament for playing the NFL QB position with the historical president to win a Super Bowl. However in the NFL the QB position is played from the pocket and with knowledge of the a pro offense. If they do not have that skill then temperament is not relevant.
Chuckie Keeton – No – same as Matt Schaub. (too much anxiety under stress).
Max Wittek – No – big ego.
Joel Stave, QB, Wisconsin – Yes – This is a guy to look at. Temperament is an exact match to Tony Romo and Jim Hart. Could be an excellent value pick. Stave has started 38 career games at Wisconsin, and his record is 29-9. Could be the steal of the draft. Update: watched some tape and he looks good, could be a late round steal.
Once you have the mental makeup report for a specific player your scouting team will have unprecedented insight. So if you want the NFL PAM insight of a specific player, just ask.