Jameis Winston was the #1 overall pick of the 2015 NFL draft. According to our personality analysis of Jameis and historical precedent, he will become a Super Bowl NFL QB. The NFL Personality Analysis Method ranks Jameis as a 10RsT-Wa. The traits of this personality are:
Positive Traits: Earnestness, Confidence, Resolve, Candor, Enthusiasm, Dependability, Fashionable, Street Smart, Versatile, Studiousness.
Negative Traits: Overconfidence, Cockiness, Arrogance, Bossiness, Inflexibility, Know-it-all.
His mental approach to life and football is simply summarized as ‘very confident.’
The details of his mental approach to football life is this:
- He is eager to please those who stand in judgement of his behavior, such as coaches.
- If the coaches or management bully him or abuse their power he will be tempted to quit and walk away.
- Possesses excellent intelligence and self reliance to become skilled in a variety of jobs/tasks. He is not naturally gifted for physical prowess. However he will study and work diligently to become a top flight NFL QB.
- He enjoys action, moving forward at a quick pace and is not tolerant of red-tape.
- In his own mind, he always knows best and will often refuse another person’s advice. He will drive himself to be successful and will not tolerate laziness among subordinates.
- His final trait is that he has a very strong opinion on most everything and can be annoyingly over-honest.
Comparison with Past and Current NFL QBs
Jameis’ historical precedent analysis show an almost exact mental makeup match with with Bart Starr and Ken Stabler. Sharing a near exact correlation with 2 SB winning QBs is very rare. This bodes well for Jameis’ NFL career prospects. On the other hand he also has an exact match with first round bust Jason Campbell. Let’s see if we can predict which route his career will follow, the bust route or the Super Bowl winning route.
Basic NFL PAM Results
Jameis landed in a good place in Tampa with Lovie Smith. The report on Lovie is that he’s fair and runs a structured/disciplined program. This type of environment is a good incubator for Jameis to grow and learn. The report on Jameis has been mixed, with slow footwork and other physical tools as being rated the worst in his QB toolbox (and remember the off season overweight photo). Jameis’ strength is his work ethic and for driving those around him to get better. This aligns positively with Lovie’s philosophy. If Lovie’s defense continues to take steps forward and the offensive line improves the Bucs could be playoff bound soon.
Jameis’ Personality Family leans toward the gunslinger mindset and definitely are not ‘game managers’. Ken Stabler threw more INTs (222) than TDs (194) and Brett Farve is the all time leader of throwing INTs (336). Those with high mental makeup correlation to Jameis generally throw lots of picks, almost a 1:1 career ratio. Expect Jameis to throw his share of interceptions. It typically takes 3-5 years for these folks to become solid NFL QBs in which he’ll have his best year for yardage and TD:INT ratio. Based on our analysis thus far his career stats will apex in the middle and trend down on the second half. Unlike others, such as Elway, who peak during the second half of their career.
Risks
On the negative, Jameis shares a first round draft selection with Jason Campbell. Meanwhile Ken Stabler was a 2nd round pick and Bart Starr was drafted very late. The takeaway is that, like many QBs, it is good for these personalities to have to earn their way. Handing the reigns to Jameis too early, combined with his ego/overconfidence, is the primary concern we have. Early high expectations might have been part of Jason Campbell’s undoing. If Jameis becomes uncoachable and or his stats start falling then we know that he was given too much too soon. Year #2 and #3 will be telling. Will we see the focused, take nothing for granted, Jameis or the overly cocky, headstrong Jameis?
At the professional football level these men have already passed all the physical ability tests. The difference between Zach Mettenberger and Tom Brady is desire, work ethic and mental approach to the game. The attitude ‘we haven’t earn anything yet’ is the approach for the coaching staff to take with Jameis. Downplay every win or loss and shift focus to the next game. Take a long term perspective. Don’t get too emotionally high or too low with Jameis. Stay focused on the future and on the end goal, winning the Super Bowl. When he earns trust, reward him with more responsibility. The coaches should let him voice his feedback. A considerate reply will go far with him.
Conclusion
That wraps up the basic Personality Analysis Method for Jameis Winston. He comes from a lineage of successful NFL QBs and the historical success of this Pf/Pt combination is rare. In spite of lacking physical prowess, he has a winning mental makeup for NFL success and the historical precedent to back it up. Combined with the right system, he has the necessary tools to win a Super Bowl. I wish Jameis all the best…and you heard it here first, congrats to Jameis Winston on at least one Super Bowl win.
MP
**This publicly available analysis is the basic analysis. This analysis is reduced to protect the player’s personal life and the team. Personality strengths or weaknesses don’t mean that a person is good or bad, just human. Our sole focus is to determine if the player’s personality traits make for a good NFL QB.